Description

This analysis provides a forecast of EGLD prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-31 10.653500 11.813105 13.059638 14.501449 16.125913 17.902637 19.997208
2025-09-07 8.999231 10.609663 12.464548 14.768216 17.565206 20.867024 25.083392
2025-09-14 7.590419 9.422985 11.661086 14.616570 18.447788 23.288475 29.934387
2025-09-21 6.457144 8.378874 10.847568 14.287314 19.012859 25.359822 34.670601
2025-09-28 5.652785 7.626769 10.278773 14.156183 19.771343 27.749270 40.199507
2025-10-05 5.204890 7.281237 10.189856 14.640106 21.417364 31.583724 48.440849
2025-10-12 4.817772 6.963033 10.084145 15.062192 23.004223 35.538589 57.552256
2025-10-19 4.407665 6.556188 9.788724 15.139819 24.043384 38.762208 66.024164
2025-10-26 4.012139 6.122891 9.395475 14.997855 24.683214 41.392075 73.910268
2025-11-02 3.659991 5.717211 8.995467 14.783513 25.151160 43.764837 81.726000
2025-11-09 3.348267 5.343213 8.603433 14.526600 25.493325 45.935538 89.523539
2025-11-16 3.089590 5.030439 8.278617 14.342311 25.930201 48.325884 98.194285
2025-11-23 2.871700 4.771491 8.028542 14.279505 26.619898 51.379921 109.069472
2025-11-30 2.734637 4.639513 7.987530 14.600509 28.106999 56.298348 125.234684
2025-12-07 2.548849 4.403745 7.735704 14.485848 28.694676 59.418403 137.901925
2025-12-14 2.357312 4.140421 7.407338 14.180456 28.837887 61.583988 148.715926
2025-12-21 2.209033 3.943827 7.185273 14.062648 29.365884 64.704720 162.739344
2025-12-28 2.144807 3.899620 7.251440 14.550570 31.313305 71.513972 188.536704
2026-01-04 2.077379 3.842879 7.286441 14.974458 33.175415 78.457066 216.648203
2026-01-11 1.979572 3.717957 7.171716 15.054427 34.228826 83.530141 240.576452
2026-01-18 1.868753 3.557977 6.970216 14.915062 34.722733 87.212312 261.170901
2026-01-25 1.760544 3.394902 6.748013 14.703058 35.003685 90.366387 280.958603
2026-02-01 1.657426 3.234616 6.518260 14.448313 35.139411 93.141298 300.295930